The 2020 Presidential Election is far from over. President Donald J. Trump only needs to flip Arizona, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania to top the magic 270 number and win the Electoral College. Based on trends, this is very possible. And other paths to victory exist.

Here's my map for Nov 10th: https://www.270towin.com/maps/eOn7y

I explain my call on each of the swing States, as follows:

1. NEVADA stays Democrat. 95% reported, and about 73,000 votes are still not counted. Trump is down 36,000 in a small population state (that's a lot), but Nevada's Republican former AG has real evidence of fraud, and their case is growing. A Trump win is still possible.

2. ARIZONA flips Republican. Biden's lead continues to shrink, and it's down to 15,000. That's very slim considering 7.4 million population. 98% reported, and about 66,000 votes still not counted. Late votes are trending Republican. I estimate 33% chance for Trump win it outright, without a recount or exposing fraud. A Biden lead of just a few thousand can easily evaporate in a recount and fraud investigation. Arizona will end up with the narrowest percent margin of any State. Fox News was wrong to call it for Biden when they did. Arizona is likely to flip, and much more likely to flip than Nevada.

3. WISCONSIN flips Republican. 99% reported, and remaining votes will be slightly more Democrat. However, no recount has begun, and fraud cases are still building, especially in Milwaukie and Madison. A 20,000 Biden lead could grow to 25,000 after the initial count is done, but it will be tough to hold blue. Of the 3 "flip states" I'm calling, Wisconsin is the toughest nut to crack, but if Trump loses Wisconsin, he can still take the election by flipping either Georgia or Michigan.

4. PENNSYLVANIA flips Republican. Biden's lead of about 45,000 may seem safe, but it's a big population State. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, the President’s attorney, says Pennsylvania is the MOST LIKELY State for Trump to flip, based on the sheer magnitude of fraud in Philadelphia historically, and now in this election. Consider it red.

5. MICHIGAN stays Democrat. Widespread fraud has been found, and the case is building, but erasing a 154,000 vote Biden lead will be difficult. Black Republican Senate Candidate John James is down by 85,000 votes. He has a 40% chance to prevail after a recount and fraud votes are removed, that's my call. He’s a dynamic guy, and his presence is sorely needed in the US Senate. James could be speaking publicly on issues for the next four years, and his influence could help grow the Black conservative base nationally.

6. GEORGIA stays Democrat. Biden's lead is only 12,000 with 99% reported, but late reporting votes are strongly trending Democrat. Most likely Biden's lead will increase to 20,000 when all votes are counted. There may be less fraud here than in the other States. It's still possible for Georgia to flip after a recount and fraud exposure, but for the purposes of this map, I left it blue

7. MAINE'S northern backwoods Congressional District comes in Democrat. 1 electoral vote. Some say it will go Trump. It's not needed here.

RESULT: TRUMP 272, BIDEN 266

On this map, Georgia and Michigan are optional gravy for Trump. I am still calling them for Biden. Each would give Trump another 16 electoral votes. These States are other paths for Trump if one of the 3 "flip states" I've identified don't come through.

I’ll be addressing the vote in New Jersey on a future blog post. Some people laughed, but I did what was needed to try and motivate both the voters and the Republican Party leaders. New Jersey’s top Republican strategists have lost touch with the basics of political strategy, and the importance of the down-ballot races. Always show a path to victory, and always try to maximize your voter turnout. Congressional and State legislative races hang in the balance.

New Jersey is still only 84% counted, and the late votes are trending Republican. Trump’s vote has risen from about 38% to about 41% since Election Day. It’s rising, as I predicted, for the reasons I predicted. The factors I talked about are real and valid, it’s just wasn’t enough to win the State for Trump with the low conservative voter turnout. When all the votes are finalized in New Jersey, I’ll have a lot to say, especially about the close down-ballot races.

There are surely 2.5 million voters who support Trump in New Jersey, and maybe more. It’s a turnout issue, if we all come out to vote, we win. There’s a lot of psychological warfare going on regarding which States are and aren’t Red States. The Left are experts at this. People are deterred from voting. This has to change. Always show a path to victory, as I am doing now. Always work to broaden the base of the Party, which is central to the mission of the Welcome Movement. There are huge numbers of conservatives-minded people in New Jersey who still vote Democrat, for various reasons.

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